Member-only story
Patterns and predictions for 2024
Thoughts on what will have a lasting impact on us at the intersection of creativity and technology
“Trying to predict the future is a discouraging, hazardous occupation.” — Arthur C. Clarke, 1964
What I said in 2022
In the first week of 2022, I wrote down my five thoughts for the year at the intersection of creativity and technology. I called them “thoughts,” not “predictions,” because they were observations of new patterns that would have an impact on how we create and society at large over multiple years to come. A prediction tends to be a finite event in time whereas patterns need time to emerge. Changes are gradual until they aren’t.
Let’s see how my thoughts fared since then. Or feel free to scroll down to “Patterns and Predictions for 2024.”
What I said #1: 2022 = 1999
“2022 will be like 1999. Mostly up and then a sudden drop (like the dotcom bubble back in the day), followed by 15–20 years of drastic and upward changes like we’ve gone through in the last two decades but in new and unexpected ways.”
Verdict: 🤝
